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Blarchive July 2004 Comments (remove NOSPAM) Googling Mr_Blog? Don't forget the underscore. Posted July 29, 2004 Republican hypocrisy surfaces on e-voting Today's Hypocrisy Alert comes courtesy of Mr_Blog's second-favorite newspaper, the St. Petersburg Times. It seems the Florida Republican Party has sent a mailer urging their voters to apply for paper absentee ballots, because The liberal Democrats have already begun their attacks and the new electronic voting machines do not have a paper ballot to verify your vote in case of a recount... Make sure your vote counts. Order your absentee ballot today. Full story Terrific! Now that we're all agreed, maybe it will be possible to stop touchscreen voting systems until there is a higher degree of proof of accuracy and security, and a paper trail. Because when you undermine confidence in the electoral process, you undermine confidence in the legitimacy of the republic. It's then a short road to permanent states of emergency, suspension of rights and a fascist state. We're already two-thirds down that road. Dump e-voting for now; I'd much rather that Ralph Nader be the only thing to queer the outcome of the Kerry-Bush contest. On the Web:
Back | Comments (remove NOSPAM) Posted July 28, 2004 Weasels in the Henhouse Is it just me, or did anyone else fall out of their chair when Al Sharpton took the podium at the Fleet Center? This was the same Al Sharpton whose "campaign" for the Democratic nomination was bankrolled by a Republican dirty-tricks operative. And now here he was at the microphone, on the second most important night of this year's convention, the night John Edwards was to be formally introduced to mainstream America. Sharpton should be booted out of the party and forbidden to put a D after his name, much less honored with a spot on the convention schedule. Remember Sharpton in the primaries? His only reason for being there seemed to be to take shots at Howard Dean (such as pressing inflammatory questions like why Dean hadn't appointed more minorities to state jobs in Vermont (duh: 3.8% minority)). The speech Edwards gave, when it finally was his turn, was a good one. My highlights: The problem was not in what Edwards said. The problem was that by the time he got on the dais, it was well past 10pm on the east coastout of TV prime time. The point of debuting your Clintonian golden boy (and is he ever) on TV is to do it to the biggest possible audience. Waiting until 10:22pm EDT, by my clock, was the wrong move and meant Edwards's speechifying did not reach as many people as it might have. So what happened? They could have cut some of the speakers immediately preceding Edwards; I understood why Governors Ed Rendell, Jennifer Granholm and Bill Richardson spoke, but they were expendable. And they didn't do very good jobs. Rendell went on about hybrid cars and fuel efficiency; Granholm spoke slowly and mentioned cars too; and Bill Richardson's pace was even slower (the guy's oratory style has always put me to sleep anyway). The film of generals and admirals endorsing Kerry and the speech by Gen. John "New Democrat" Shalikashvili (Watch, clip start @2:58:25) were powerful, I wouldn't have cut those. Yet the convention organizers didn't appear to make any moves to tighten things upunless you count the NPR report of the apparent cancellation of a number by John Cougar Mellencamp. By my count Sharpton was the biggest reason Edwards started so late. The NPR coverage was invaluable: E.J. Dionne, hardly my favorite talking head, noted that Sharpton had departed extensively from his prepared text. In the end he exceeded his allotted time by some 18-20 minutes. If they had enforced Sharpton's time and cut the three governors, Edwards could have conceivably hit the stage at 9:15 EDT. Dionne didn't seem to get the full implication of it being Sharpton who put things behind schedule. It was as if Sharpton was still on the Republican payroll. His mission: bump Edwards out of prime time. Every little bit hurts; remember, Dubya "won" Florida by only a few hundred votes. Speaking of weasels, who saw former NYC mayor Ed Koch early this afternoon, being paraded like a hostage on Fox News airwaves? It seems Democrat Koch is supporting Bush. The reason: He trusts Bush to better handle the war against terror(!). Well if Koch wants to sacrifice the economy, the budget, the environment, civil rights, education, health insurance, international alliances and military readiness, just so Bush can keep playing at being Commander in Chief and ignore his Daily Briefings, well fine. I hope he and other GOP-symp weasels Zell Miller and Griffin Bell enjoy speaking in tongues at the Republican convention in New York. And I hope Al Sharpton joins them. Posted July 26, 2004 Railroaded Hi, I'm Ron Sims, and I want to be the next Governor of Washington.
Posted July 21, 2004 Anatomy Of A Leak Today, Mr_Blog was going to go with a vicious parody at the expense of King County Executive Ron Sims, but that can keep until another day. Instead, I want to take a look at the strange case of Sandy Berger, National Security Haberdasher. The AP broke the story on Monday, July 19. Here are the main points: "Berger, President Clinton's national security adviser, is the focus of a criminal investigation into whether he improperly removed notes and classified documents from the National Archives during preparations for hearings by the commission investigating the Sept. 11 attacks. Pretty balanced so far: notes and copies of documents; put them in his clothing (pockets?); it was inadvertent; David Gergen says it's no big deal. But that was Monday. By Tuesday, Fox News picked up the story. Fox took most of the story from the AP wire, but with a difference: Berger and his lawyer said Monday night he knowingly removed the handwritten notes by placing them in his jacket, pants and socks, and also inadvertently took copies of actual classified documents in a leather portfolio. "Clothing" has become "jacket, pants and socks." Moreover, it attributes the admission to Berger himself, though it's not in the AP story. The leather portfolio is new information, though. And at least it is still clear in Fox's story that what Berger "knowingly" took were the handwritten notesnotes he was allowed to makeand that he says removal of the copies of classified documents (no originals) was accidental, in the portfolio. Later in the day (approximately 9:30 pm PDT), Fox News cousin The New York Post adds to the story. Instead of notes and copies of documents in his clothing, Berger is now "under criminal investigation for sneaking top-secret documents out of the National Archives in his pants legs and, possibly, his socks" Possibly his socks? Fox reported Berger admitted he put them in his socksnow it's just 'possible'? Why is there doubt?in the AP story it was "clothing", and Archives staff "witnessed Berger's actions in the [reading] room." Do you suppose maybe he didn't admit to socks at all? Mention of the leather portfolio is gone too, as are Gergen's assurances. The handwritten notes are not mentioned until later, citing Republicans who want to know if Berger "illegally made notes." For the Post, the affair is now "Sockdoc." Luckily, John Kerry is not Al Gore. Kerry (Berger has had to bow out as a campaign adviser) has gone public charging a leak, for the purpose of diverting attention from negatives in the final report by the 9/11 Commissionwhich just so happens to have been previewed today. The White House initially issued denials, saying the White House didn't even know about the Berger investigation. But now (1505 PDT) CNN reports that Scott McClellan admits some people at the White House did know. Time to connect the dots. Go back to the original story: who told the AP about the investigation? The National Archives? No, let's dissect the story. The quote is "Three government officials who have been briefed on the investigation said [that Archives staff witnessed Berger's actions.]" And "the officials said Berger was reportedly seen stuffing some of the material into his clothing." It wasn't the Archives, or investigatorsit was "officials." Who were the officials? We don't know: The officials declined to be identified because of the sensitivity of the investigation. In other words, they were "informed sources," and it was a leak. Then Fox and the Post juiced it up with pants and socks. Wolf Blitzer is on CNN right now (1440 PDT), interviewing Senators Saxby Chambliss (R) and Ron Wyden (D). Wyden maintained that Berger's actions were inadvertent and, most importantly, that there was no threat to national security. Chambliss characterized Berger's explanation as "returned most of them, and the dog ate the rest," as well as "odd and bizarre." While praising Berger's past service (yeah, right), Chambliss raised a popular specter, Unanswered Questions, to keep the scandal (that's what CNN is calling it now in their screencrawl) going. This is how the sides are forming. Stay tuned. Sidebar: White House Tap Dance (5:50 pm). I highly recommend the following report from Democracy Now!, containing audio of Scott McClellan evading questions from Helen Thomas. All she wanted to know was, would Bush follow Tony Blair's example, and take full responsibility for leading the nation to war based on false pretenses? Listen (Realaudio). Back | Comments (remove NOSPAM) Posted July 20, 2004 Pluck the Duck I've always read the comics in the newspaper. But in our internet era I usually check the newspapers online during the week, so I don't see the funnies. Therefore on Sundays I get a Times/P-I delivered so I can get a weekly fix of Dilbert and Doonesbury. The new Opus strip is still in shakedown mode. Sherman's Lagoon also makes me chuckle, I don't know why. I skip over most of the strips. Cathy is tiresome; Gas Alley is crotchety; Family Circus is just plain nauseating. But the one I currently find hateful is Mallard Fillmore, scrawled by a Bruce Tinsley. It is, to put it charitably, a conservative strip. It is the kind of conservative strip that was chosen because the editors no doubt had the following meeting:
The eponymous character is a green-headed duck who usually spouts some kind of right-wing claptrap. In the July 18 strip, the duck is watching the Tour de France on TV. He is cheering for Americans in the three week raceTyler Hamilton, Levi Leipheimer, Bobby Julich and, of course, Lance Armstrong. "This year," thinks the duck, "there's actually a chance that the top three places could go to Americans!" Comics are often written weeks, if not months in advance of publication. So the duck's hope for an all-American podium in Paris is not coming to pass. Leipheimer is in the best position for a #2 finish, in 10th place after today's Stage 15. But Julich crashed on Sunday when his handlebars were caught by the side mirror of a Tour car; he sits in 49th place. And Hamilton abandoned the race on Saturday. (There are also three other Americans in the Tour, two on Postal; I guess George Hincapie, Floyd Landis and Christian Vandevelde haven't captured Tinsley's imagination.) But in the strip, the duck's reverie is spoiled not by the race results, but by a TV announcer who says: "See?! This is why the rest of the world hates America." What the hell??? Is Tinsley one of those neocons with a persecution complex? You know the type: 'Nobody likes America! They hate us... because they're jealous! They want all our stuff!' I hope Tinsley was actually watching Saturday's Stage 13 won by Armstrong. The day concluded with a 16 km, 7.8% "haute category" climb up to the Plateau de Beille. The custom is for spectators to line the route, running alongside and shouting encouragement to the racers. Hey Tinsley, did you see the throng of Spaniards, French and Basques cheering Lance? Did you see the happy wackos decked out in American flags and longhorn helmets? Did anyone boo him or the US Postal jersey? They did not, because they don't hate America, or Americans. They hate Bush. Neo-cons seem to get confused on this regard, as they equate feelings for Country with feelings for the Leader. That's not the way the USA is supposed to work. What system of government equates a country with its leader? Yes, it's fascist dictatorship. Perhaps the crowds know what Tinsley appears not tothat cycling is a team sport, the stars don't do it all on their own. And there are no national teams in the Tour. Sponsors are companies. US Postal is just a sponsor of Armstrong's team, his teammates are Spanish, Portuguese, Czech, and Russian, as well as Americans. Postal is not the 'American team,' anymore than Phonak is American because Hamilton is a member, or CSC is American due to the presence of Julich. Has the media even been anti-American? It doesn't appear so, the 2004 Tour has verged on a love fest for Armstrong. Although the run up to the race included warmed-over allegations about doping and a libel suit by Lance, the European media also featured stories about the improvement in relations between him and the fans, how Armstrong seemed much friendlier and relaxed, and how the public has responded in kind. Any pre-race controversy does not seem to have followed Armstrong on the race route. This year there are no cries of "Dopé", only awe and respect for the Texan, who today beat Ivan Basso to the line to win Stage 15 and retake the yellow jerseymaybe for good. A historic sixth straight victory in Paris is his to lose. It looks like the only dopé around here is Bruce Tinsley and his strange brand of nationalistic self-pity. Sidebar: Mork De Ork.
Williams took note of the international and multilingual effort that is world-class bicycle racing. He joked that in the Postal car the "mood was very exciting because it's a 'United Nations' car, there are people speaking Flemish, 'Spanith'... French, which is necessary en France... German, which we must speak occasionally in France, every so often." Williams seemed to be saying, It's the Tour de France, but it belongs to everyone. Posted July 16, 2004 Fun with Excel Am I the only one left with the impression that Dubya & Co. are manipulating terrorism warnings and the DHS color-code system for political gain? Well I decided to investigate, and came up with the graph below. One of my few fond memories of being a University of Washington undergraduate majoring in Political Science was reading the works of Edward Tufte. Tufte is a political economist whose forte is statistics. In one of his books, Political Control of the Economy, Tufte made observations about changes in economic policy (Fed changes in the money supply, timing of Social Security COLAs, etc.) and the electoral cycle (Election Days). What was fun was that Tufte seemed to be saying look, these are just statistics. They don't prove the party in power manipulates policy for electoral gainbut it sure is amazing how one follows the other so closely. How I did it. Thus inspired, I set out to gather data. First, I perused my War Against Error news chronology, picking out a list of the biggest things I thought Dubya, Dick et al would want to downplay (Ken Lay indicted) or exploit (Saddam captured). These "News" items are the purple symbols on the graph, + for good news, dots for neutral or bad news:
Next, Dubya's approval ratings seemed like a good (inverse) indicator of Bush desperation. I obtained these data (thanks, USA Today!) and plotted them as the red line (thanks, Excel!). Third, I went to the DHS web page and figured out all the times the official alert status has been raised. Finally, I Googled several variations of the term bush|ridge|cheney warn terror|threat color attack to find instances when the Administration made statements warning of terror threats but didn't raise the color status. The combined list of terror warnings with and without color changes are the blue lines:
That was the process, and the order in which the steps were performed. I didn't cherry-pick news that happened when Bush's ratings were down, or when the warnings occurred. I leave the cherrypicking to Rumsfeld and Cheney.
Remember, this doesn't prove Bush is manipulating terror warnings for electoral gainbut it sure is amazing how one follows the other so closely. Back | Comments (remove NOSPAM) Posted July 12, 2004 Presidential Attack Ad, Take 6 Action! "A trial lawyer is running for high national office. Sidebar: The most ridiculous thing I've heard in the past week is the GOP spinners who, with one side of their mouth, say that John Edwards has no foreign policy experience. Never mind that a duty of the Senate is to approve treaties and advise and consent on ambassadorial appointments. It's in the Constitution (Article 2)so it's not surprising the GOP's talking heads aren't familiar with it. Then out of the other side, they claim that Dubya had such experience as of 2000, because Texas shares a border with Mexico. Back | Comments (remove NOSPAM) Posted July 10, 2004 CIA blamed. I'm not fooled, are you? So the final version of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence report on prewar intel has been released, and, as already previewed, the "intelligence community" is the whipping boy. It all seems persuasive, but. . . Cast your mind back to the months before the invasion of Iraq. Remember the daily drumbeat of news stories indicating that war was inevitable? Now read just a few of the earlier accounts that reconstruct what happened: "between Oct. 7 [2002], when President Bush made a speech laying out the case for military action against Hussein, and Jan. 28 [2003], when he gave his State of the Union address, almost all the other evidence had either been undercut or disproved by U.N. inspectors in Iraq." Source "[T]he president did not make decisions in a methodical way: there was no free-flow of ideas or open debate. At cabinet meetings, [Paul O'Neill] says the president was 'like a blind man in a roomful of deaf people. There is no discernible connection,' forcing top officials to act 'on little more than hunches about what the president might think.' "[Tenet] said the agency never described Iraq as 'an imminent threat' in the months leading up to the March 2003 invasion" Source "Tenet told the committee he personally intervened on several occasions to correct public statements by President Bush and Vice President Cheney falsely claiming 'conclusive evidence' of Iraqi efforts to obtain weapons of mass destruction. Tenet revealed he learned just last week that in August 2002, senior aides to Vice President Cheney were presentedwithout the CIA's knowledgefalse and misleading evidence linking Saddam and al Qaeda by Pentagon officials running a separate intelligence unit. The vice president trumpets this evidence today despite repeated warnings about its veracity." Source And finally, thanks to O'Neill's book we also know that the plan (or rather PNAC's plan) to invade Iraq existed from the earliest days after Bush took (he sure did!) office. Back | Comments (remove NOSPAM) Posted July 9, 2004 Boo! LOOK OUT!!!
Back | Comments (remove NOSPAM) Posted July 6, 2004 EmPHAsis on the wrong sylLAble After an early summer surge, the growth in job creation has slowed. The Department of Labor says only 112,000 new jobs were added last month, well below expectations. The official unemployment rate, which doesn't count those who have given up looking for work, remains at 6.5%. What this all means is that Bush, down anywhere from 2.2 to 2.5 million in terms of the numbers of jobs lost during his administration, has managed to add back only 1.5 million since last fall, approximately. The latest subpar results lessen the likelihood of even getting back to 2001 levels. Yet Bush's earnest self-delusion continues, and in a way that highlights his inability to verbalize anything remotely self-critical (for example, mangling the "fool me twice" adage, and the bewildering mispronunciations of 'Abu Ghraib'): "We're witnessing steady growth, steady growth. And that's important. We don't need, uh, boom or bust type growth, we want just steady, consistent growth, so that our fellow citizens will be able to find a job." That's how he said it: with the emphasis on the indefinite article. Not a good job. Not a well-paying job. Not a career. Not even "uh fantahstick jahb", as Gov. Schwarzenpfefferincorporated promised his Californians last year. A job. Well thank you for shopping at Wal-Mart. Excuse me, but a net job loss of a million, level jobless rate, rampant underemployment and a slowing rate of new job creation is not proof of "steady and consistent growth"unless he means the growth in his administration's mediocrity. Almost lost in theOK, we'll call it 'hoopla'over today's selection of TV psychic John Edwards as the Democratic running mate, is news of a Senate report (read it before it's archived) that before the invasion the CIA knew Iraq had abandoned its WMD programs. But they didn't tell Dubya: The Central Intelligence Agency was told by relatives of Iraqi scientists before the war that Baghdad's programs to develop unconventional weapons had been abandoned, but the C.I.A. failed to give that information to President Bush, even as he publicly warned of the threat posed by Saddam Hussein's illicit weapons, according to government officials. I can almost hear Fox News blaring the good news: It wasn't Bush's fault! It was Tenet! Four more years! But wait! Keep reading: ...analysts may have misrepresented information, writing reports that distorted evidence in order to bolster their case that Iraq did have chemical, biological and nuclear programs, according to government officials... Doesn't that sound familiar? The Senate found, for example, that an Iraqi defector who supposedly provided evidence of the existence of a biological weapons program had actually said he did not know of any such program. Gasp. CIA lied??? Now why would they do that? Maybe for the same reason that Tenet assured Bush that the case for WMD was a slam dunk. It was what the White House wanted to hear. They had already decided to go to war. They had the truth, from people like Clarke and Wilson, but they chose to go with anything that would make the case for invasion stronger. This attempt to put all the blame on CIA is a diversion. We can conclude this, not only because it is being put out by a Republican-controlled Senate committee, but also because before the war Bush wasn't relying solely on CIA for its intel. Cheney and Rumsfeld had created their own intelligence group at the Pentagon to cherry-pick the best pro-invasion data, and they did it precisely because they thought the information they were getting from the intelligence community wasn't pro-war enough. The conclusions of this "Office of Special Plans" were just as rosy as CIA's, if not more so, staffed as it was by a hand-picked group of hawks; the White House was perfectly happy to snort up the little packets of phony intel provided by Ahmed Chalabi & Co. Back | Comments (remove NOSPAM) Posted July 2, 2004 Excerpts from Clinton unauthorized bio! A Mr_Blog Exclusive! Bill Clinton's book tour is going gangbusters, so it was inevitable that other Bubba-oriented books would be rushed out to capitalize on the public's appetite. First up, a biography penned by Helen Fielding as only she can. Following are excerpts from the closely guarded manuscript, courtesy of our connections at Probability Cottage Press. Bill Clintons's Diary Back | Comments (remove NOSPAM)
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